Reliability of ENSO Dynamical Predictions
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
A New Method for Determining the Reliability of Dynamical ENSO Predictions
Determination of the reliability of particular ENSO forecasts is of particular importance to end users. Theoretical arguments are developed that indicate that the amplitudes of slowly decaying (or growing) normal modes of the coupled system provide a useful measure of forecast reliability. Historical forecasts from a skillful prediction model together with a series of ensemble predictions from ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
سال: 2005
ISSN: 1520-0469,0022-4928
DOI: 10.1175/jas3445.1